Club América vs Morelia – Club América has a mountain to climb when it hosts Monarcas Morelia at Estadio Azteca on Sunday evening. It finished 2-0 to Morelia when these teams met in Michoacan for the first leg of their Liga MX Apertura semi-final. Fernando Aristegueita put the hosts 1-0 up, and then América left-back Jorge Eduardo Sánchez was sent off on 35 minutes. Morelia made the man advantage count. Aldo Rocha fired in a second just after the break. Centre-back Sebastian Vegas was sent off for a second bookable offense with 12 minutes remaining, but Morelia held on for a clean sheet.
Morelia Defies the Odds
Morelia has been the surprise package of these playoffs. It finished seventh in the table and scraped through to the postseason, and it was not among the favorites for success. It landed a tricky clash with León in the quarter-finals, and picked up a stunning 5-4 aggregate win. Now it is up against reigning Apertura champion América. Once again, it was the underdog, but it delivered a superb first leg performance. That has left Morelia on the brink of its first final appearance since the 2011 Clausura championship. A Daunting Trip to the Capital But first it must navigate a difficult second leg trip to Mexico City. América has a strong record at Estadio Azteca this season. It won five and drew three of its nine games there, finishing with a +9 goal difference at home. Monarcas did not have a great away record. It lost four of its nine away games, won just three and finished with a -2 goal difference on the road.
Club América vs Morelia Betting Tips
It is also worth noting that América has a strong record against Morelia. Before that defeat in the first leg, it had only lost once in their 11 previous meetings. These teams met at Estadio Azteca in September, and América won 1-0. It has faced Morelia three times at home over the past two years, and it has triumphed on each occasion. Morelia can also afford to lose this game. A 1-0 or 2-1 defeat would see it reach the final, so betting on América to win the match seems like a sensible idea.
Top sports betting sites like Bethard are offering -175 on a win for América, which looks appealing. Pinnacle also has good odds, as does the Betfair Exchange. A great way to get more value is to back América to win and under 4.5 goals at -109, as this is unlikely to be a high-scoring clash.