León vs Toluca – León will aim to get back to winning ways when it hosts a struggling Toluca side at Estadio León on Saturday night. Ignacio Ambriz’s men moved up to third in the standings after a thrilling 3-2 home victory over Atlético San Luis on October 26. They are now sixth after losing 1-0 away at Cruz Azul and drawing 1-1 at home with Monarcas Morelia. Jown Cardona was sent off in that 1-1 draw on Sunday night. Discipline has been an issue for León of late, but if it keeps 11 men on the pitch it should win this game.
Toluca struggles for form
Toluca is struggling this season. It has suffered back-to-back defeats against Tigres and Guadalajara, and it is now 17th in the table. It has lost four of its eight away games, and Estadio León is a difficult place to visit. León is one of just three teams in the Apertura championship to hold an unbeaten home record this season. It has three wins and five draws from eight games. That is solid form, but it needs to grow better at killing teams off. A match against Toluca could be a good place to start.
León vs Toluca Betting Picks
León has won its last three games against Los Diablos Rojos. It won 3-1 at Estadio León in January 2018, 2-1 on the road in August 2018, and 3-0 at Estadio León earlier this year. León has been one of the best teams in Mexico throughout 2019, with the likes of José Macias and Angel Mena excellent, and it should get the better of Toluca on Saturday. You can find odds of -147 on a home win for León at Pinnacle and that looks generous. For more value, Bet365 has -115 on León -0.75 Asian handicap, while there are some interesting prices available on the Betfair Exchange too.